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The Estin Report:2nd Quarter and 1st Half 2016State of the Aspen Market with narrative, charts, tables photos was posted inCurrent Reportsas PDF… Read More

Nov 19 – 26, 2017 Estin Report: Last Week’s Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Sales & Stats: Closed (9) + Under Contract / Pending (2) The Estin Report: Oct 2017 Aspen Real Estate Monthly Snapshot was posted in Current Reports on 11/14/17. The Snapshots are usually posted on or near the 1st … Read More

Jan 14 - 21, 2018 Estin Report: Last Week's Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Sales & Stats: Closed (10) + Under Contract / Pending (8)
The Dec 2017 Market Snapshot was released 01/13/17 in Current Reports.
New in Charts in Current Reports
12/23/17: Charts: 2017 Aspen Sales by Neighborhood and Property Type and Downtown Condos Fly High - new charts to be included in my year end 2017 report to be released soon.

11/20/17: Where are we now? Chart Series: 2006 – Q3 2017 Historic Pace of Aspen and Snowmass Village Dollar and Unit Sales (updated every quarter.  Q4 2017 update to be updated soon).
    
Clients often ask, “Where are we now compared to the Great Recession…?” My interest in creating this series of charts is to answer that question for myself and to offer a visual reference for that conversation – to compare Aspen and Snowmass Village sales activity now to pre-recession mid-2000’s levels...Read more
Bottom Line Dec 2017
"Dec 2017 ended on a weak note compared to what was to an outstanding year. A disappointment in fact. But maybe this was the reprieve we needed after an exceptionally strong three months in August, Sep and Oct ’17.
For the year, dollar sales at $1.512B were almost dead-even with $1.513B in Year 2015;  unit sales were also near even with 2015 with (433) in 2017 versus (442) in 2015. Years 2017 and 2015 were remarkably similar to one another and the best performing years of the past ten, 2008-2017, while 2017 had the lowest inventory of properties for sale of that ten year period: (762) listings inventory 2017 vs (858) in 2015, -11%.
Standout categories for the month of December are:
1) Sales of properties over $10M and over at near record of 2015.

For the year 2017, dollar sales of properties $10M and above are up 181% to $442M from $157M in 2016; Unit sales are up 142% to (29) versus (12) last year.
In 2017, $10M and over property sales accounted for $442M, or 29%, of the $1.512B total market dollar sales and (29), or 7%, of the (433) total unit sales.
In 2015, sales of properties $10M and over were $454M, or 30%, of the $1.513B total market dollar sales and (30), or 7%, of the (441) total unit sales.

2) Aspen condos: Sales are up 29% YTD while inventory of available listings is down -18%. High demand and falling inventory is creating price pressure: In the 3-mos sales period from Oct-Dec 17, the avg Aspen Core condo/townhome sold at $1,514 sq ft over $1,252 in the same period Dec 2017, +21%.
3) Where are the Aspen Discounts? Checkout areas a bit farther out of town but more than compensating for the 'relative' distance are the staggering views and high mountain scenery. This is 'Rocky Mountain High' living at its best at sub-prime pricing!  Giddy-up folks!!  For example, Starwood had (2) sales in the three months of Oct-Dec 17 at an avg $624 sq ft vs $616 sq ft same period a year ago, +1%.  The caveat: these sales were for older homes selling essentially at lot value, but for reference, compare this to the avg. (3) downtown SF home sales +31%,  $2,227 sq ft in Oct-Dec 2017 vs $1,704 sq ft in the same period last year. Another example is Woody Creek where home prices over $1.5M are still relatively discounted at $1,310 sq ft in Oct-Dec 2017 versus $963 sq ft same time last year. +36%. See Best Deals for Starwood/McLain Flats and Woody Creek properties.
4) Snowmass Village values: SMV is entering its prime winter selling season Dec – April, and unit sales activity has been picking up similar to 2015.  The revived Snowmass Base Village under new ownership is completing some major construction projects and the base area if starting to look and feel more finished than the construction site its been for the past 10 years. There is a lot of excitement and positive energy while at the same time,   SMV opportunities continue…in general, prices – at 40-60% discount-to-Aspen –  are similar, if not down incrementally, from last year... Read More

Dec 10 - 17, 2017 Estin Report: Last Week's Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Sales & Stats: Closed (5) + Under Contract / Pending (12)
New in Current Reports 11/20/17: Where are we now? Chart Series: 2006 – Q3 2017 Historic Pace of Aspen and Snowmass Village Dollar and Unit Sales (updated every quarter).

Clients often ask, “Where are we now compared to the Great Recession…?”. My interest in creating this series of charts is to answer that question for myself and to offer a visual reference for that conversation – to compare Aspen and Snowmass Village sales activity now to pre-recession mid-2000’s levels...Read more

Estin Report: Nov. 2017 Aspen Snowmass Market Snapshot was posted on Dec 6th in Current Reports.
Nov 2017 Bottom Line
Nov 2017 continues the strong performance we’ve experienced throughout the year. We are close to beating the record year 2015.
Standout categories for the month of November are:
1) Aspen condo sales up 31% YTD while inventory of available listings is off -29%. In the 3-mos sales period from Sep-Nov 17, the avg condo/townhome sold at $1,731 sq ft over $1,346 in the same period Nov 2016, +29%.2) Value outside Aspen Core: an example of excellent values away from the Aspen Core, Starwood had (3) sales Sep-Nov 17 at an avg $610 sq ft vs $830 sq ft same period a year ago, -26%.  The caveat: these sales were for older homes selling essentially at lot value, but for reference, compare this to the avg. (3) downtown SF home sale at $2,227 sq ft in the same period.
3) Snowmass Village values: SMV has been very active in Nov 17 with (16) sales vs (7) last year, +129%; dollar sales even better – $29.7M vs $6.9M, +331%. Of (4) Ridge Run SFH sales Sep-Nov 17, the avg sale was $635 sq ft vs $1,095 same period last year. SMV opportunities continue…in general, prices are similar, if not down incrementally, from last year. Read More

Last week’s Aspen and Snowmass sales activity appears below. Scroll down the page for photos and details of weekly solds and under contract /pending Aspen properties in the past 4 weeks. For earlier dates, use the down arrow to search the… Read More

The Oct 2016 YTD Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Market Snapshot was posted on Mon Nov 7th in Current Reports.The Monthly Snapshots… Read More

The Estin Report:2nd Quarter and 1st Half 2016State of the Aspen Market with narrative, charts, tables photos was posted inCurrent Reportsas PDF… Read More

Aspen Real Estate Market  Last Week's Sales: Jan 12-19, 25 - Week 3 Read More

This is the 504th weekly Estin Report blog post on Aspen real estate. But who's counting, really? Check out the SearchEstinAspen Section to find all kinds of accumulated information on Aspen homes, condos and properties - ten years have gone into building this searchable database and archive that becomes a more useful as a resource over time. 

The April 2017 Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Monthly Market Snapshot was posted in Current Reports on Wed. May 3rd. The Monthly Snapshots are usually posted on or near the 1st Monday of the month. The Q1 2017 & 2016 Year End report will be released this week, I hope, as will Q4 2016 stats.

An article appeared in the Denver Post Sunday Feb 26th on Colorado Mountain resort real estate including Aspen and Pitkin County. 

Bottom Line:  Estin Report: Apr 2017 Aspen Real Estate Market Snapshot Excerpt:

"Aspen real estate is in turn-a-round mode from a dismal 2016 when global uncertainty curtailed buyers' appetite for luxury high end 2nd home purchases. Post-election 2016, an upper-end Aspen real estate recovery is in full bloom.

In April 2017, for the combined Aspen/Snowmass Village market, the number of units sold is up +25%, from 28 last year to 35 this year. The number of properties that went under contract in April 2017 was 30 versus 25 last year. Under contracts are viewed as an indicator of future activity.

But the surging market activity grabbing local headlines is very specific: location specific, property specific, style/design specific, property age specific..
. There’s inside the roundabout and there’s outside. Not everyone’s partying at present.

If you want to pay through your teeth, pour money into developer’s pockets who saw these things coming 2-4 years ago, be a part of the great migration closer into town... If you want to find good-to-great values and motivated sellers in to-die-for stunningly beautiful settings 5-15 minutes beyond downtown Aspen, play the contrarian hand and rediscover and embrace the areas and neighborhoods the Aspen settler generation of the 1960's through the 1980’s came to Aspen for...""

Click tables to enlarge

New Charts Below: Historic Pace of Aspen and Snowmass Village Homes, Condos and Vacant Land / Lots by Dollar Sales and Unit Sales Updated with Q1 2017. (These charts are very popular and will be updated every quarter):

These new charts were originally posted in Current Reports on 02/15/17 through Q4 2016. They have been updated with Q1 2017 stats. The charts are: the historic pace of dollar and unit sales since 2006 separately for Aspen and Snowmass Village (SMV) by property types: 1) all properties combined; 2) single family homes; 3) condos; 4) vacant land / lots. (Fractionals, with the exception of extreme sales, are not included.)

Sales velocity, or pace, whether by dollar volume or unit sales is extremely useful to consider ss the unit sales drop-off in the 2nd Half 2007 so foreshadowed the Great Recession. 

While many real estate professionals use dollar volume sales as the single metric for sales performance (it often looks 'better'), unit sales are a more reliable measure of market activity. Dollar sales can be skewed disproportionately by extreme high or low end priced sales.

Clients often ask, "Where are we now compared to the Great Recession...?". These charts offer a solid reference for that conversation. In this instance, the starting point for the trend line is 2006, but, of course, where the trend line commences will affect its outcome...If the charts had started at 2009, the trend would be more upwards at present than is shown here.

As this is written, post-election Nov 2016 through Mar 31, 2017(see charts through Q1 2017), sales have picked up considerably and are decidedly on an upward trajectory.

Click link to see additional charts
for Aspen and SMV by property types thru Mar 31, 2017 (Q1).

"Flip Job" Examples: See recent Before/After redevelopment  in the new Flip Jobs Section near the bottom of the Menu Bar on the left. These are properties that have been recently or are currently in the process of redevelopment for re-sale. This post is updated (01/04/17) as additional re-sale properties come on the market at significantly higher prices.
___________
Market Activity Week 20, May 14 - 21, 2017

Aspen Snowmass real estate weekly sales and under contract activity appears below for all Aspen, Snowmass Village, Brush Cr Village, Woody Creek and Old Snowmass properties over $250,000 excluding fractionals in the upper Roaring Fork Valley. As the MLS links below expire after 30 days, photos and written descriptions of select closed properties (those with excellent photography) are posted here to preserve an archive of sold market activity.  Scroll down the page for home photos and details of weekly sales and under contract / pending Aspen properties in the past 4 weeks. For earlier dates, use the down arrow to quickly find blog archives by year and date to 2008. Or use SearchEstinAspen in the menu bar to search by topic, address, subdivision, complex, date, etc.  If it's about Aspen real estate, the information should be here.

Closed (8):  MLS#s 141581, 140780, 142935, 143689, 143697, 144516, 146684, 147871. This link is valid until 6/20/2017.

Under Contract/Pending (4): MLS#s 139835, 145712, 146108, 147702. This link is valid until 6/20/2017.

Aspen Snowmass Solds Last Week:  

MLS #142935 - Black Birch Estates, West Aspen river front home, 1130 Black Birch Drive, Aspen, CO. Sold Price: $7,600,000/$2,627 sq ft 05/16/2017, unfurnished. More details below photos.
        
MLS #142935 - Black Birch Estates, West Aspen river front home, 1130 Black Birch Drive, Aspen, CO. Sold Price: $7,600,000/$2,627 sq ft on 05/16/2017, unfurnished. Aspen single family home for sale. Ask Price: $7,900,000. (Original Price: $8,900,000 and 455 days on the market since 02/16/2016.) This is a 1972 built and 1995 remodeled, 4 bedroom/3 bath, 2,893 sq ft single family residence with 1 car garage on a 20,171 sq ft lot. The house is located at the end of Red Butte Dr off of Cemetery Ln. It looks out onto the confluence of the Roaring Fork River and Caslte Creek, a completely unique and dramatic river frontage setting. Broker comments are "Situated at the confluence of the Roaring Fork River and Castle Creek in Aspen, this may be the most spectacular river front property in the State of Colorado; it is as good as it gets. Early morning sun fills the nearly half acre property and continues throughout the day. Listen to the sounds of the river, and watch wildlife wonder the riparian setting. Fly fish from the back yard. A wooden bridge entry crosses a meandering stream through the front yard. The four-bedroom home was recently remodeled and tastefully appointed with new contemporary fixtures and furnishings. A two-sided large stone fireplace warms the living area. The kitchen enjoys river views from two sides. Wood flooring is throughout. The dining room walks out to a large deck on the river. Three main level bedrooms with two bathrooms, and an open entertainment room complete the main level. The master bedroom sits above the river with views upstream towards the Continental Divide of Sunshine and New York Peaks. Located at the end of a quiet, non-through street. Close to downtown Aspen via the Rio Grande or Cemetery Lane trails, or a five-minute drive or free bus ride away. The Aspen Meadows footbridge to the Benedict music tent is also nearby. A detached garage provides adequate storage. Additional Floor Area Ratio (FAR) is still available with numerous expansion and redevelopment opportunities. There is nothing else like this available today." 2015 taxes: $12,936. City of Aspen RETT Transfer Tax of approx. 1.5% payable by buyer. Under Contract Date: 03/18/2017; Sold Date: 05/16/2017. (Photos and broker comments courtesy of Aspen Snowmass Sotheby's International Realty-Hyman Mall) Read More

May 13 – 20, 2018 Estin Report: Last Week’s Aspen CO Homes for Sale and Snowmass Real Estate Sales & Stats: Closed (11) + Under Contract / Pending (14) Apr 2018 Aspen Real Estate Market… Read More

Aspen Real Estate Market  Last Week’s Sales: Dec 8 – 15, 19 – Week 49 Closed (15) + Under Contract / Pending (11). [To view the new blog post, you may have to “Clear your Browser Settings”. Go to:… Read More

The Estin Report:May 2016 Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Market Snapshot was released June 7, 2016inCurrent Reports. The Monthly Snapshots are posted on or near the 1st Monday of the month. Excerpt:… Read More