Tim Estin MBA, GRI

Aspen CO Real Estate Broker
Call Tim:(970) 309-6163

Use this site as an Aspen real estate resource. The Estin Report has been accumulating Aspen real estate information online since 2005, and the reports include historical market information dating back to 2003-2004. Search by MLS #, date, topic, address, condo complex, development name, etc. If it is Aspen Snowmass real estate related, it is likely to be here.

Aspen Highlands Townhome Values – 2 Sales Last Week: $4.75M/$788 Sq Ft and $4.9M/$841 Sq Ft

Sept 3 - 10, 2017 Estin Report: Last Week's Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Sales & Stats: Closed (13) + Under Contract / Pending (10)

The Estin Report: August 2017 Aspen Real Estate Monthly Snapshot has been posted in Current Reports. The Snapshots are usually posted on or near the 1st Monday of the month. 
August 2017 Bottom Line
"The Aspen real estate market is cruising along in overdrive. August is traditionally a very active period for sales, and this August more so than ever. Sales at all prices points are exceedingly strong while inventory of properties for sale is declining significantly. Areas with particular sales velocity are Downtown Aspen, Red Mountain and the West End. Outlying areas are experiencing slower sales at lower prices—there’s value in them hills. There is concern the market is frothy with many asking how long can this last...Who really knows? No one..." Read more 
The Estin Report: Mid-Year 2017 State of Aspen Real Estate was released in the summer 2017 in Current Reports. The 32-Page report is available on-line as PDF and in a print edition in kiosks at the airport, the info booth across from Paradise Bakery town and at Sothebys offices at 415 E Hyman in the Mall and 300 S Spring opposite the Art Museum.
"Flip Job" Examples: See recent Before/After Redevelopment in the Flip Jobs Section near the bottom of the Menu Bar on the left. These are properties that have been recently or are currently in the process of redevelopment for re-sale. This post is updated (07/4/17) as additional re-sale properties come on the market at significantly higher prices.
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Market Activity Week 37, Sept 3 - 10, 2017
Aspen Snowmass real estate weekly sales and under contract activity appears below for all Aspen, Snowmass Village, Brush Cr Village, Woody Creek and Old Snowmass properties over $250,000 excluding fractionals in the upper Roaring Fork Valley. As the MLS links below expire after 30 days, photos and written descriptions of select closed properties (those with excellent photography) are posted here to preserve an archive of sold market activity.  Scroll down the page for home photos and details of weekly sales and under contract / pending Aspen properties in the past 4 weeks. For earlier dates, use the down arrow to quickly find blog archives by year and date to 2008. Or use SearchEstinAspen in the menu bar to search by topic, address, subdivision, complex, date, etc.  If it's about Aspen real estate, the information should be here.
Closed (13):  MLS#s 137922, 144511, 144449, 145125, 147338, 148440, 148471, 149519, 149524, 149702, 149816, 149897, 150785. This link is valid until 10/10/2017.

Under Contract/Pending (10): MLS#s 141708, 146964, 148047, 149313, 149536, 149868, 149877, 150197, 150447, 150735. This link is valid until 10/10/2017.

Aspen Snowmass Solds Last Week:  
MLS #147338 - Aspen Highlands, West Aspen, 75 Thunderbowl Lane, Aspen, CO. Sold Price: $4,900,000/$841 sq ft; furnished. More details below photos.
        
MLS #147338 - Aspen Highlands, West Aspen, 75 Thunderbowl Lane, Aspen, CO. Sold Price: $4,900,000/$841 sq ft; furnished. Aspen single family home for sale. Ask Price: $5,475,000. (Original Price: $5,475,000 and 264 days on the market since 12/16/2016.) This is a 2007 built, 4 bedroom/5 bath/2 half-bath, 5,824 sq ft single family home with 2 car garage on a 3,920 sq ft lot. Some of the "best values"near downtown Aspen can be found at Aspen Highlands which is 5-7 minutes from downtown Aspen by shuttle bus. Broker comments are "Luxurious townhome living at Aspen Highlands within steps of the Thunderbowl and Exhibition Ski Lifts. Enjoy spectacular views of the Aspen Highlands ski area from the ultimate destination home with generous spaces ideally suited for entertaining. The contemporary mountain design boasts a gracious 5,824 sq ft, with four en-suite bedrooms, plus a private office, two power rooms, multiple fireplaces, game and media room, gourmet kitchen, top-of-the-line wine chillers, elevator, hot tub and heated two-car garage. Five minutes from downtown Aspen and just a short walk to Aspen Schools and the Aspen Recreation Center. Ritz-Carlton Club amenities include use of the workout facilities, outdoor heated pool and spa. Complimentary in-town and airport transportation available." 2017 taxes: $24,153; HOA Dues: $5,719 per Qtr. City of Aspen RETT Transfer Tax of approx. 1.5% payable by buyer. Under Contract Date: 07/22/2017; Sold Date: 09/06/2017. (Photos and broker comments courtesy of Coldwell Banker Mason Morse-Aspen) Read More

2017 Built Half Duplex on Aspen Golf Course Sells for $6.3M/$1,428 sq ft

Jan 21 - 28, 2018 Estin Report: Last Week's Aspen Snowmass Real Estate Sales & Stats: Closed (10) + Under Contract / Pending (12)
The Dec 2017 Market Snapshot was released 01/13/17 in Current Reports.
New in Charts in Current Reports
12/23/17: Charts: 2017 Aspen Sales by Neighborhood and Property Type and Downtown Condos Fly High - new charts to be included in my year end 2017 report to be released soon.

11/20/17: Where are we now? Chart Series: 2006 – Q3 2017 Historic Pace of Aspen and Snowmass Village Dollar and Unit Sales (updated every quarter.  Q4 2017 update to be updated soon).
    
Clients often ask, “Where are we now compared to the Great Recession…?” My interest in creating this series of charts is to answer that question for myself and to offer a visual reference for that conversation – to compare Aspen and Snowmass Village sales activity now to pre-recession mid-2000’s levels...Read more
Bottom Line Dec 2017
"Dec 2017 ended on a weak note compared to what was to an outstanding year. A disappointment in fact. But maybe this was the reprieve we needed after an exceptionally strong three months in August, Sep and Oct ’17.
For the year, dollar sales at $1.512B were almost dead-even with $1.513B in Year 2015;  unit sales were also near even with 2015 with (433) in 2017 versus (442) in 2015. Years 2017 and 2015 were remarkably similar to one another and the best performing years of the past ten, 2008-2017, while 2017 had the lowest inventory of properties for sale of that ten year period: (762) listings inventory 2017 vs (858) in 2015, -11%.
Standout categories for the month of December are:
1) Sales of properties over $10M and over at near record of 2015.

For the year 2017, dollar sales of properties $10M and above are up 181% to $442M from $157M in 2016; Unit sales are up 142% to (29) versus (12) last year.
In 2017, $10M and over property sales accounted for $442M, or 29%, of the $1.512B total market dollar sales and (29), or 7%, of the (433) total unit sales.
In 2015, sales of properties $10M and over were $454M, or 30%, of the $1.513B total market dollar sales and (30), or 7%, of the (441) total unit sales.

2) Aspen condos: Sales are up 29% YTD while inventory of available listings is down -18%. High demand and falling inventory is creating price pressure: In the 3-mos sales period from Oct-Dec 17, the avg Aspen Core condo/townhome sold at $1,514 sq ft over $1,252 in the same period Dec 2017, +21%.
3) Where are the Aspen Discounts? Checkout areas a bit farther out of town but more than compensating for the 'relative' distance are the staggering views and high mountain scenery. This is 'Rocky Mountain High' living at its best at sub-prime pricing!  Giddy-up folks!!  For example, Starwood had (2) sales in the three months of Oct-Dec 17 at an avg $624 sq ft vs $616 sq ft same period a year ago, +1%.  The caveat: these sales were for older homes selling essentially at lot value, but for reference, compare this to the avg. (3) downtown SF home sales +31%,  $2,227 sq ft in Oct-Dec 2017 vs $1,704 sq ft in the same period last year. Another example is Woody Creek where home prices over $1.5M are still relatively discounted at $1,310 sq ft in Oct-Dec 2017 versus $963 sq ft same time last year. +36%. See Best Deals for Starwood/McLain Flats and Woody Creek properties.
4) Snowmass Village values: SMV is entering its prime winter selling season Dec – April, and unit sales activity has been picking up similar to 2015.  The revived Snowmass Base Village under new ownership is completing some major construction projects and the base area if starting to look and feel more finished than the construction site its been for the past 10 years. There is a lot of excitement and positive energy while at the same time,   SMV opportunities continue…in general, prices – at 40-60% discount-to-Aspen –  are similar, if not down incrementally, from last year... Read More

Aspen 2008 Economic Outlook: Will the Rich Keep Spending, ADN

By Brent Gardner-Smith, Jan 2, 2008, Aspen Daily News

For Aspen’s gold-plated economy to continue to purr along in 2008, thousands of wealthy people will need to once again decide to build or buy large expensive Homes, entertain lavishly in those homes, purchase luxury goods such as jewelry and art, and continue to spend freely in the local resort marketplace.

While there are signs that some Americans may now be hesitating before making such decisions, there may be other off-setting factors, including the fact that even Aspen’s real estate prices may now look like a bargain to European consumers.

Designing, approving, building, selling, buying, maintaining and using large luxury homes in Aspen, Snowmass Village and Pitkin County is the main economic engine of the Roaring Fork Valley.
And one of the leading indicators for that sector of the economy is real estate sales.

It appears as if 2007 will have produced the second largest sum of real estate sales in Pitkin County, just behind 2006. In 2006, a record $2.4 billion worth of real estate in Pitkin County changed hands.

Through November 2007, there was $2.3 billion in real estate sales recorded, according to Land Title Guarantee Co.

And it appears as if 2008 might bring a slight chill to the local market, which is still very robust, if not surreal.

Consider that just five years ago, the amount of annual real estate sales in Pitkin County was “only” $1.2 billion.

“We’ve seen a weakening in the numbers of sales and in dollar volumes compared to where we were in 2006,” said Randy Gold, the president and owner of Aspen Appraisal Group Ltd., who recently completed a year end analysis of the Aspen and Snowmass Village real estate markets. “2006 will probably remain the record year, but so what? It doesn’t mean that 2007 was bad and it doesn’t mean the 2008 will be bad.” Read More

The Estin Report © – Aspen as a Safe Harbor

By Tim Estin mba, gri / Broker Associate / Mason Morse Real Estate Aspen / 970.920.7387 office (excerpted from original article in Mountain Business Journal, Jan. 2nd, 2006) In last week’s column (Dec 21-26th), I focused on major demographic and socio-economic trends strongly favoring continued growth in real estate demand in Aspen and the Roaring Fork Valley. This week, I’d like to make a case – subjective, not entirely quantifiable - for Aspen as ‘safe harbor’, as a relatively safe and prudent arena from a wealth preservation perspective to buy and hold real estate Read More

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